The one and only UK 2024 election thread - July 4

[Jock42]

Off to bed and will get up for an hour or so at 3.30 I think

Get that prostate checked mate.

[Slick]

Off to bed and will get up for an hour or so at 3.30 I think

Get that prostate checked mate.

it’s the only quiet time I get with the wife and kids

[Margin__Walker]

Seems like nearly all the Mrps were badly wrong

Certainly looks like they were out to an extent going by the Exit poll. Won't be too much time to celebrate for Labour as, whilst a landslide is a landslide, they'll be fending off election narratives from left and right.



Off to bed too. A small human will no doubt wake me up in the night and I'll see how things are going then.

[Raggs]

That's a scary amount of votes for reform in Sunderland!

[lemonhead]

That's a scary amount of votes for reform in Sunderland!

And many more to come.

Feck this, tuning out.

[fishfoodie]

I've started on the popcorn....

[epwc]

That's a scary amount of votes for reform in Sunderland!

Amazing

[Raggs]

Bloody hell, reform in a solid second place again.

I'm depressed with my country so far.

[epwc]

Me too, appalling

[fishfoodie]

That's a scary amount of votes for reform in Sunderland!

Amazing

Not really; as I recall they were first to vote overwhelmingly for Brexit too, so they obviously like taking it up the wrong un from fascists, or else they're just thick as shit & easily manipulated

[S/Lt_Phillips]

Bloody hell, reform in a solid second place again.

I'm depressed with my country so far.

Yeah. These 2 are solid brexity areas though, so maybe that's a factor?

[epwc]

But what benefits have they seen from Brexit?

[S/Lt_Phillips]

Watching Channel 4, Nadine Doris has only spoken once (to have a go at Sunak) and Emily Maitlis immediately had to correct her on claiming Sunak dropped the Windsor framework. Can't imagine she'll be adding much insight to the debate.

[epwc]

I thought it was just Bimbo that thinks Brexits brilliant

[S/Lt_Phillips]

But what benefits have they seen from Brexit?

Protest that brexit hasn't been brexity enough?

[Hal Jordan]

I think that the Tories have stayed home given what appears to be a low turnout, boosting both Labour's majority and making Reform look bigger than they are. Reform are also likely to provide Parliament with a badge engineered version of the sort of petty fascist headbangers, racists and general bad eggs that would have been in a Tory backbench Research Group.

[lemonhead]

But what benefits have they seen from Brexit?

Protest that brexit hasn't been brexity enough?

Strong possibility.

Traitors will probably get mentioned. Not the Brexit I voted for etc.

[Raggs]

I hope that as they were both Labour holds, that the reform voters were a semi protest vote.

Not sure if I'd be happy to see cons getting ruined entirely by reform splitting their vote clean, or sad at all the reform voters.

[lemonhead]

In Barnsley North, the exit poll predicts that Labour’s Dan Jarvis is likely to lose his seat to a former Reform candidate who was dropped by the party last week over alleged racist comments.

A lot more protest on the way it seems

[S/Lt_Phillips]

I hope that as they were both Labour holds, that the reform voters were a semi protest vote.

Not sure if I'd be happy to see cons getting ruined entirely by reform splitting their vote clean, or sad at all the reform voters.

+1

[Raggs]

Reform have been promising ponies for everyone, and it seems a lot of people have believed them.

[fishfoodie]

Reform have been promising ponies for everyone, and it seems a lot of people have believed them.

The same mugs that are still waiting for their Brexit unicorns !

[Hal Jordan]

Buckland loses his seat, which somewhat softens the legal rofession's horror at Chris Grayling being named in Sunak's dissolution peerage list.

[Paddington Bear]

Early results suggesting the exit poll was kind to the Tories, Reform and surging and Labour winning by default

[Biffer]

Neil Kinnock’s reaction to Galloway losing is very enjoyable

[_Os_]

Looking at some constituencies. Reform close to what UKIP had in 2010 and 2015, Lib Dems and Greens their usual, Tories and Labour big change in favour of Labour.

Imagine rocking up and voting UKIP in 2010 and 2015, getting everything you wanted which was total chaos, then voting Reform in 2024.

[_Os_]

IDS has won because Labour managed to split their vote between their candidate and their deposed candidate. Sitting here in the early hours listening to fucking IDS drone on.

[Biffer]

Fucking Farridge. Cunt of a man. Didn’t actually want to win, he’s now got to actually turn up. Can’t be as much of a prick as he was in the European Parliament.

[_Os_]

Corbyn wins big then Frog Face wins big immediately afterwards. Fucking hell.

[Paddington Bear]

Tory gain in Leicester East!

Looks like some ructions within the asian community there

[Slick]

Much as I’d like to see it, I don’t think there is any way SNP are finishing on 10

The Times podcast earlier were making the point that more or less every seat in Scotland is a marginal, so I share your skepticism

I wouldn't be at all surprised if these numbers are +-20% off, as I'm not sure how robust the pollsters are in the face of a lot of tactical voting

Looks like we were both wrong, absolutely smashed

[S/Lt_Phillips]

Much as I’d like to see it, I don’t think there is any way SNP are finishing on 10

The Times podcast earlier were making the point that more or less every seat in Scotland is a marginal, so I share your skepticism

I wouldn't be at all surprised if these numbers are +-20% off, as I'm not sure how robust the pollsters are in the face of a lot of tactical voting

Looks like we were both wrong, absolutely smashed

BBC now revised its forecast for the SNP down to 6!

(And also revised Reform down to 4 from 13. Still 4 too many.)

[Slick]

SNP hold Dundee, the YES City, by just 600 . Labour take the first Glasgow seat of the night off SNP

[Slick]

The Times podcast earlier were making the point that more or less every seat in Scotland is a marginal, so I share your skepticism

I wouldn't be at all surprised if these numbers are +-20% off, as I'm not sure how robust the pollsters are in the face of a lot of tactical voting

Looks like we were both wrong, absolutely smashed

BBC now revised its forecast for the SNP down to 6!

(And also revised Reform down to 4 from 13. Still 4 too many.)

Absolutely unbelievable, no one saw this coming. Swinney now on BBC Scotland

[S/Lt_Phillips]

IDS is an odious individual. Absolutely no grace or humility.

[S/Lt_Phillips]

Mordant gone. Along with Shapps and Fabricant. And Coffey. And Mercer.

[ScarfaceClaw]

Fuck you Clacton.

[mat the expat]

Reform have been promising ponies for everyone, and it seems a lot of people have believed them.

It's always the way.

What happens next is they usually can't keep coherency and split into Independents

[Slick]

What the fuck are 700 people on Lewis doing voting for Refirm!

Mogg gone

[_Os_]

I'm fairly sure Corbyn is now the father of the House and Abbott is the mother of the House. The parents of UK democracy.