Big Nipper wrote: Thu Nov 04, 2021 6:14 am
Os, what do you make of the DA losing 23% of the coloured vote? Pretty much a pasting in my books
I've already posted on it ...
1. A lot of damage to the DA among coloured and Afrikaner voters was locked in at the 2019 election. At the time I argued (with DA people) against the course of action the DA was taking, that boiled down to the throwing the DA's supporters under the bus to try and win ANC supporters. The hounding of the (innocent) white school teacher in NW was awful stuff and orchestrated (by the backroom staff now working for Mashaba). The plan of "sacrifice racial minorities to get black voters" was bizarre, the assumption too many in the DA made was "our voters have no one else to vote for" something I always thought was nonsense. The outcome of all this was a loss of faith in the DA by many of its own supporters on an emotional level, whilst gaining very few new supporters because who is going to join a party fighting itself? This was all very obvious to me from at least 2017. I told you so.
2. It wasn't just about faith and who the party wanted to be for in some vague way. The DA also pursued a very confused policy line on race for a long time, were they for BEE or against it? For racial quotas or against it? The people I've met who hate the ANC and their racist laws the most, are all coloured people. Unlike most (but not all) whites, it's harder for them to come up with workarounds. Unlike whites who see ANC racism as something expected, coloureds experience it as a betrayal. So it's materially and emotionally much harder on them, than it is on whites. The people most pissed at the DA are coloured, there's an irony here because whilst the DA were pursuing this policy those who opposed it and said the DA should be non-racial and not copy the ANC, were basically called racist whites. I guess the peak of this was Maimane talking about "white privilege" a phrase taken from the USA, to support the ANC's racial policies which disproportionately harm the one group of people in SA that are descended from slaves (coloured people). The damage of the DA's confused policy position through most of the 2010s isn't going to be undone in one and half years, quite a bit of it in lockdown, then having a snap election. Most people aren't as tuned into politics as people commenting here and wouldn't even know anything has changed, they just want to punish the DA.
3. The first two points are a nice example of the different standards the DA is held to. No one gives a shit that other parties have alienated racial minorities so much that they all have fuck all representation among those groups. You say the DA is "pasted" in the coloured community, what happened to the ANC or the EFF? The advice media pundits give the DA is "copy the ANC", can you see a bit of a contradiction in the advice media people give the DA and the standards they hold it to? Which other party is subjected to a running commentary on their coloured or white or indian vote share?
4. In the SA context all the old apartheid racial categories are fake. All of us know that an English speaker from CT's southern suburbs and a Afrikaans speaking farmer from the far north, may both be white but that does not mean they have the same identity. If you tried to make a white nationalist party in SA, it would fail to unite that group of people because that identity doesn't exist as a singular coherent thing, there would always be a large bloc of whites who opposed it. All this is even more true for coloureds. There's a lot going into coloured identity that can't all fit into the same party - Afrikaans/English/Islam/Christianity/Cape Coloured/Cape Malay/Nama. Which is why there's about 3 different parties trying to be the coloured nationalist party. They're going to work out they can only all exist within the same party, if that party is non-racial and has no identity politics at all. They're also going to work out that these parties may not be as anti-ANC as they hoped.
5. The rise of residents parties in the Western Cape, is connected to coloureds feeling betrayed by the DA who they feel have prioritised blacks (they gave up on the ANC decades ago and just take it as a given from the ANC, which is why there's been no increase coloureds voting ANC). That is the bluntly stated position of CCC, that people who moved to CT from the Eastern Cape have got more than they have. Do you start to understand what copying the ANC has done to the DA's reputation? The logic in voting for a residents association is basically this - they will have to go into coalition with the DA, then benefits for our community can be extracted at the cost of other communities. I suspect also that there's a lack of trust in coloured nationalists parties, because they suspect they'll sell out the voters to the ANC. It's very easy to see how this could blow up ... running anything when there's a small contingent always agitating more be given to them and that small group being dominated by dickheads (a party simply being larger filters out the dickheads more), doesn't make something more stable.
... it was actually people like you who demanded the DA copy the ANC and supported the direction under Maimane, who helped create this mess. A lot of it just has to play out before it can be fixed, the small coloured nationalist parties just need to do their thing and fail.