So, coronavirus...

Where goats go to escape
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salanya
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Lemoentjie wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 1:41 pm I do hope all the fatties who ask for lockdowns etc are equally as determined to lose their excess weight that puts them at risk not only for Covid, but many other problems that block up hospital beds.
You seem obsessed with overweight people. Why ignore smokers, alcoholics, drug users? Or the elderly, who all take up a lot of health services too.

None of these are easy to fix, so perhaps we'll concentrate on the issue of the global pandemic first?
Over the hills and far away........
Biffer
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_Os_ wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 1:37 pm
Biffer wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 1:07 pmWhat do you think endemic actually means?
So now we're going to discuss the dictionary, when we can all Google the meaning of words. Endemic is something that's always there.

One of the dumbest things about all this, is you can read everything from actual scientists (journal articles and full press releases, not articles in the media filtered through journalists) and just repeat what they say. And it makes no difference, you will be told you're a moron. If you advocate for maximum mitigation, which has failed, no one questions that.

This from the first page first paragraph of the MAC's assessment sent to the minister of health:
"quarantine is only likely to be effective and/or practical in certain circumstances, and is an extreme, though sometimes necessary control measure for a disease outbreak. It is one potential control measure among many options, including isolation, and widespread testing campaigns. It does not generally have a role for endemic diseases, where control is not possible".
Just this block of text has three references from different US institutions/journal articles.

The whole of page two then goes on to describe that there should be no quarantine or isolation because it's now pointless (guess why dictionary dude), concluding with: "We propose that quarantining be discontinued with immediate effect" and "we further propose that contact tracing be stopped", and "this applies equally to vaccinated and non-vaccinated contacts". Page three continues explaining those recommendations. Page four the references.

So I read the top scientists advising my government, then I'm wrong and you want me to read the dictionary to you? I don't know where to go with that.
It’s just the way you’re using endemic seems to carry some implication of lower risk, that’s why I asked. If that’s unintentional fair enough, but if you want to maintain that you’re looking at this in a purely scientific way, you need to make sure you use language better.

And I get my info from very good sources - I work for a Uk government science lab, so we’ve been getting in house briefings from leading scientists and researchers all the way through the pandemic. Head of vaccination research for the MRC, that kind of thing. Twenty or thirty minutes at a time, straight from the horses mouth, unfiltered by media. It also means I have access to medical and science journal full texts, so you can be guaranteed I’m using that as well.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
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Calculon
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Torquemada 1420 wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 11:13 am
Biffer wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 10:47 am
Torquemada 1420 wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 10:20 am
The SA data implies exactly that.
That can't be clearly stated yet. SA looks like it's had a disconnection between rates of case, hospitalisations and deaths, which is great. But we've already had that in the UK due to vaccination. What's not clear is if SA is seeing that effect (but coming substantially from prior infection) or if its an additional effect.
Yes. I agree. Which is why I used the word "implies"! :grin:
After the first and second waves there were hopeful predictions that the third (Delta) would be less severe due to increased immunity. That didn't happen. Just after this third wave the Omicron wave happened, which has resulted in a fall in hospitalization by 91 percent, and the death rate of people in hospital by two-thirds. Even discounting the data that the Omicron variant is poorer at infecting lung tissue than Delta, such a large effect being solely due to additional immunity is pretty unlikely and does suggest lower intrinsic severity.
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tabascoboy
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The rumour mill on Twatter says Johnson Is considering going back to Step 2 restrictions from Dec 27 for a month.

Time to stock up heavily on cheese and wine and plan some "work meetings" for NYE then ( need to wear a suit too of course )
Dogbert
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tabascoboy wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 3:53 pm The rumour mill on Twatter says Johnson Is considering going back to Step 2 restrictions from Dec 27 for a month.

Time to stock up heavily on cheese and wine and plan some "work meetings" for NYE then ( need to wear a suit too of course )
Will a Birthday suit suffice ?
Lager & Lime - we don't do cocktails
Wrinkles
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Calculon wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 2:32 pm
Torquemada 1420 wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 11:13 am
Biffer wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 10:47 am

That can't be clearly stated yet. SA looks like it's had a disconnection between rates of case, hospitalisations and deaths, which is great. But we've already had that in the UK due to vaccination. What's not clear is if SA is seeing that effect (but coming substantially from prior infection) or if its an additional effect.
Yes. I agree. Which is why I used the word "implies"! :grin:
After the first and second waves there were hopeful predictions that the third (Delta) would be less severe due to increased immunity. That didn't happen. Just after this third wave the Omicron wave happened, which has resulted in a fall in hospitalization by 91 percent, and the death rate of people in hospital by two-thirds. Even discounting the data that the Omicron variant is poorer at infecting lung tissue than Delta, such a large effect being solely due to additional immunity is pretty unlikely and does suggest lower intrinsic severity.
In the UK, that’s exactly what did happen. Far fewer deaths for Delta compared to the first two waves.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
TheFrog
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I think this will be my last post on Coronavirus on any forum because I am getting tired of lay people (me included) arguing about a disease scientists haven't quite yet understood. From individuals to news media, governments to unions, everything is very short term, all is emotional and there is very little space for constructive, calm analysis. Latest example is Omicron, when scientists ask for a bit more time before jumping to conclusions but where hysteria is already running wild among all camps.

So, I think best I can so is shut up given I have no expertise to bring to the debate.

Only thing I'd say before turning the page of COVID debates, is that I take heart in the curve showing daily deaths worldwide as it shows that wave after the wave, the trend is downward even as the contamination curve seems to show a stable trend. See below, you need to scroll down to see the chart.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
dpedin
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_Os_ wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 12:11 pm
dpedin wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 9:52 am Which viruses that have been endemic have magically disappeared without any sensible PH appoach? Covid is not endemic in many countries around the world.

Please don't use the term 'concentration camps' in the context of covid - it is not appropriate and does a huge disservice to those who actually suffered locked up and dying in them!
The Asian flu virus appeared in the late 1950s did its thing, disappeared, then came back (antigenic shift) as the Hong Kong flu virus in the late 1960s. Then became a strain of seasonal flu. That's two pandemics both of which killed millions, and the exact process of each is in many ways mysterious (we know how it came back, but why did it come back, and why with such a big gap in time?). There's much about virus life cycles that's not understood (well, if you think viruses are "alive" enough to have a life cycle), if you Google "virus" and "upper atmosphere", you'll find lots of returns from 2018 of research describing how viruses travel around in the upper atmosphere (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41396-017-0042-4), maybe that's part of the answer and maybe it's nothing.

Yes, it being endemic now means it's unlikely to just disappear, but I'm not convinced anyone fully knows what's going on here beyond the broad brushstrokes (I'm old enough to recall when much more limited mitigation than happened in the end was supposed to limit UK deaths to 25k-50k). It likely is endemic basically everywhere, SA announced Omicron before it even sequenced the gnome fully. As soon as SA announced Belgium, Israel, Hong Kong announced they had cases within hours (so you either believe they could detect cases immediately within hours, or they already knew they had cases but there's so many variants they didn't care until someone else announced). Botswana has said the first Botswana Omicron cases in early November were from diplomats some of which were from Europe. This thing is way beyond mitigation and control now.

Once something is endemic public health measures will do little. As I've posted before, SA has endemic TB, every South African on here has had the BCG at birth immediately, some would've had the BCG again when they were teenagers, and some also again when they were conscripted into the military. The BCG is one of the most effective vaccines there is. SA's BCG vaccination is basically involuntary and has 100% coverage and has been that way for two generations, there's still endemic TB because the damp living conditions of many people have not been improved. Covid thrives indoors among groups of people (and seems to have a seasonal component), in other words the conditions for Covid are normal life. So you're not going to eliminate Covid through public health measures, and zero Covid doesn't look likely.

The Aussies are constructing rows of huts in remote locations where people must report to or face severe penalties. There are cases of this crippling people's lives (job losses etc). That has a strong whiff of concentration camp to me. Presumably every Aussie will have to do a stretch in one of these locations at some point in their lives, seeing as we're all getting Covid at some point, because it's endemic. But that's their look out, seems like madness to me.
Asian flu in late 1950's declined following the deployment of a vaccine in 1958'ish onwards - you can check this by googling it. The same virologists developed the vaccine for the following Hong Kong flu in late 1960's - again you can google it. Neither of these viruses magically disappeared - science and PH got them under control but to be fair it did take a while for the vaccines to be developed and deployed, just as we are seeing now with covid.

PH mitigations help avoid disease becoming endemic and then killing people! When done properly it will save lives and hold back community transmission until effective vaccines, medications, etc are developed and can be deployed. The likes of NZ, Japan and other are doing this successfully - see their covid death rates per 100k of pop - whereas the UK response has been awful - see our death rates. The difference for this has been the different PH responses.

BCG is an effective vaccine for TB but its level of efficacy is unclear - some suggest that it is about 60-80% so even with mass vaccination and regular boosters there will still be cases of TB and this will certainly be the case in countries where there is still a level of TB infections circulating for a number of reasons. WHO is trying to develop more effective vaccines for TB. I thought TB was a bacteria that was spread from person to person so not sure that damp living conditions are a cause but clearly close living arrangements with infected people will increase person to person spread. Again the seasonal element will be because of increased personal contacts, poor ventilations, no mask wearing, etc.

Your comparison of concentration camps with whatever the Aussies are building is still highly offensive and I suggest that you stop trying to justify your use of the term. We all know what you meant the using the term and it is not acceptable, please desist.
dpedin
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Wrinkles wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 4:06 pm
Calculon wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 2:32 pm
Torquemada 1420 wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 11:13 am

Yes. I agree. Which is why I used the word "implies"! :grin:
After the first and second waves there were hopeful predictions that the third (Delta) would be less severe due to increased immunity. That didn't happen. Just after this third wave the Omicron wave happened, which has resulted in a fall in hospitalization by 91 percent, and the death rate of people in hospital by two-thirds. Even discounting the data that the Omicron variant is poorer at infecting lung tissue than Delta, such a large effect being solely due to additional immunity is pretty unlikely and does suggest lower intrinsic severity.
In the UK, that’s exactly what did happen. Far fewer deaths for Delta compared to the first two waves.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
The Scottish data is interesting and hopeful? Although cases are increasing fast the hospitalisation rates don't seem to be following, although we have to allow for the time lag between cases and hospitalisations, it does appear hopeful. New admissions don't seem to be increasing in same proportion as before. Also hearing from mates that average length of stays is down for covid patients is down which is reducing pressure on beds. Medics are working out how to treat covid and have a better set of medications to choose from. However the main problem is staff absences due to infection, isolation and caring responsibilities, are on dramatic increase and this means fewer staffed beds available. Staff continue to get pulled from other areas to cover covid beds or being called out to support booster vaccination programme. Ongoing problem continues to be unvaccinated patients being admitted and needing ICU.

Fingers crossed!!!

Travelling Tabby website is a useful info source - updated daily. Pulls together data from a variety of sources and sets it out nicely.

https://www.travellingtabby.com/scotlan ... s-tracker/
Biffer
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dpedin wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 4:34 pm
Wrinkles wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 4:06 pm
Calculon wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 2:32 pm

After the first and second waves there were hopeful predictions that the third (Delta) would be less severe due to increased immunity. That didn't happen. Just after this third wave the Omicron wave happened, which has resulted in a fall in hospitalization by 91 percent, and the death rate of people in hospital by two-thirds. Even discounting the data that the Omicron variant is poorer at infecting lung tissue than Delta, such a large effect being solely due to additional immunity is pretty unlikely and does suggest lower intrinsic severity.
In the UK, that’s exactly what did happen. Far fewer deaths for Delta compared to the first two waves.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
The Scottish data is interesting and hopeful? Although cases are increasing fast the hospitalisation rates don't seem to be following, although we have to allow for the time lag between cases and hospitalisations, it does appear hopeful. New admissions don't seem to be increasing in same proportion as before. Also hearing from mates that average length of stays is down for covid patients is down which is reducing pressure on beds. Medics are working out how to treat covid and have a better set of medications to choose from. However the main problem is staff absences due to infection, isolation and caring responsibilities, are on dramatic increase and this means fewer staffed beds available. Staff continue to get pulled from other areas to cover covid beds or being called out to support booster vaccination programme. Ongoing problem continues to be unvaccinated patients being admitted and needing ICU.

Fingers crossed!!!

Travelling Tabby website is a useful info source - updated daily. Pulls together data from a variety of sources and sets it out nicely.

https://www.travellingtabby.com/scotlan ... s-tracker/
Well find out over the next week. Numbers only started to really kick up seven days ago. That’ll pass through to hospitalisations in the next week or ten days, if the timescales are the same as previous waves.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
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Calculon
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Wrinkles wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 4:06 pm
Calculon wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 2:32 pm
Torquemada 1420 wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 11:13 am

Yes. I agree. Which is why I used the word "implies"! :grin:
After the first and second waves there were hopeful predictions that the third (Delta) would be less severe due to increased immunity. That didn't happen. Just after this third wave the Omicron wave happened, which has resulted in a fall in hospitalization by 91 percent, and the death rate of people in hospital by two-thirds. Even discounting the data that the Omicron variant is poorer at infecting lung tissue than Delta, such a large effect being solely due to additional immunity is pretty unlikely and does suggest lower intrinsic severity.
In the UK, that’s exactly what did happen. Far fewer deaths for Delta compared to the first two waves.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
I know, the obvious difference is that the UK had a massive vaccination drive before their third (Delta) wave
petej
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Biffer wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 4:43 pm
dpedin wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 4:34 pm
Wrinkles wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 4:06 pm
In the UK, that’s exactly what did happen. Far fewer deaths for Delta compared to the first two waves.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
The Scottish data is interesting and hopeful? Although cases are increasing fast the hospitalisation rates don't seem to be following, although we have to allow for the time lag between cases and hospitalisations, it does appear hopeful. New admissions don't seem to be increasing in same proportion as before. Also hearing from mates that average length of stays is down for covid patients is down which is reducing pressure on beds. Medics are working out how to treat covid and have a better set of medications to choose from. However the main problem is staff absences due to infection, isolation and caring responsibilities, are on dramatic increase and this means fewer staffed beds available. Staff continue to get pulled from other areas to cover covid beds or being called out to support booster vaccination programme. Ongoing problem continues to be unvaccinated patients being admitted and needing ICU.

Fingers crossed!!!

Travelling Tabby website is a useful info source - updated daily. Pulls together data from a variety of sources and sets it out nicely.

https://www.travellingtabby.com/scotlan ... s-tracker/
Well find out over the next week. Numbers only started to really kick up seven days ago. That’ll pass through to hospitalisations in the next week or ten days, if the timescales are the same as previous waves.
London seems to be near toping out in cases (assuming it is not a testing capacity issue or a people not testing issue).
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fishfoodie
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What is the blithering idiot giving this news conference for ?

He's taking a lot of words, to say exactly nothing, & give zero clarity
Deveron Boy
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Absolute dickhead. No direction lots of blah

However very clear that his cheese and wine party was ‘work’
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fishfoodie
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Deveron Boy wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 5:13 pm Absolute dickhead. No direction lots of blah

However very clear that his cheese and wine party was ‘work’
The pig-eyed, sack of shit has obviously been told by the experts, that there needed to be more restrictions; but the Cabinet told him, the MPs wouldn't wear it; & more letters/emails would go into the 1922 Chair; so he said; "Fuck It !", & now, they'll wait till hospitals in London run out of capacity; before doing anything.
Lemoentjie
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salanya wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 2:01 pm
Lemoentjie wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 1:41 pm I do hope all the fatties who ask for lockdowns etc are equally as determined to lose their excess weight that puts them at risk not only for Covid, but many other problems that block up hospital beds.
You seem obsessed with overweight people. Why ignore smokers, alcoholics, drug users? Or the elderly, who all take up a lot of health services too.

None of these are easy to fix, so perhaps we'll concentrate on the issue of the global pandemic first?
'Obsessed'? What are you talking about?

Yes, I think the same should be for alcoholics and drug users.
dpedin
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fishfoodie wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 5:23 pm
Deveron Boy wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 5:13 pm Absolute dickhead. No direction lots of blah

However very clear that his cheese and wine party was ‘work’
The pig-eyed, sack of shit has obviously been told by the experts, that there needed to be more restrictions; but the Cabinet told him, the MPs wouldn't wear it; & more letters/emails would go into the 1922 Chair; so he said; "Fuck It !", & now, they'll wait till hospitals in London run out of capacity; before doing anything.
Last thing the Blonde Bumblecunt wants is to have to recall Parliament to get restrictions passed and have another 100+ of his MPs voting against him and then relying on Labour and SNP votes to get it through the house. He is fecked, he is a dead man walking and it is a feckin disaster for the country. Without the new restrictions then there isn't any need for Treasury to compensate leisure and entertainment industries for losses they are incurring as people vote with their feet and 'exercise caution'. He is literally selling them down the river, happy to let 1,000's of businesses go bust in order to save his own political skin! He is a cnut!
petej
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salanya wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 1:30 pm
Uncle fester wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 12:35 pm Would you fúck off with this agenda-driven shit?
For people working in sectors that are directly impacted by the hospital numbers, this has been the most fúcking awful years of our lives and we will be the ones who have to clean up the mess left by twats pushing their own twisted brand of "science".
Hear hear.

Let's hope Omicron is milder than the previous variants. But you still want to prevent spreading it in case you make others ill, and it can still make people poorly, whether just for a day or several weeks.
Meaning having to isolate and being off work.
Bit of a pain when you stack shelves or work in IT, but with serious consequences for oncologists, obstetricians but also firemen etc.
That's the concern for the wider society, and why measures need considering.

This pandemic is really showing people's true colours, and a general lack of empathy (anti-vaxxers, politicians and/or those with their own specific agenda without considering others).
There's a concern for wider society? There is a concern for the elderly and unvaxxed. I don't think there is any concern for the u30s and minor's. A minor after thought for the UK government and UK media.
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Insane_Homer
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“Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true.”
Jockaline
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dpedin wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 7:28 pm
fishfoodie wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 5:23 pm
Deveron Boy wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 5:13 pm Absolute dickhead. No direction lots of blah

However very clear that his cheese and wine party was ‘work’
The pig-eyed, sack of shit has obviously been told by the experts, that there needed to be more restrictions; but the Cabinet told him, the MPs wouldn't wear it; & more letters/emails would go into the 1922 Chair; so he said; "Fuck It !", & now, they'll wait till hospitals in London run out of capacity; before doing anything.
Last thing the Blonde Bumblecunt wants is to have to recall Parliament to get restrictions passed and have another 100+ of his MPs voting against him and then relying on Labour and SNP votes to get it through the house. He is fecked, he is a dead man walking and it is a feckin disaster for the country. Without the new restrictions then there isn't any need for Treasury to compensate leisure and entertainment industries for losses they are incurring as people vote with their feet and 'exercise caution'. He is literally selling them down the river, happy to let 1,000's of businesses go bust in order to save his own political skin! He is a cnut!
Sunak, the heir apparent, as responsible if not more so. Looking after his own political skin, as is Truss to a lesser extent. The conservative right, Brexit crowd are in charge, Boris still their is just to soak up the wrath before they pounce.
Jockaline
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Jockaline wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 8:45 pm
dpedin wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 7:28 pm
fishfoodie wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 5:23 pm

The pig-eyed, sack of shit has obviously been told by the experts, that there needed to be more restrictions; but the Cabinet told him, the MPs wouldn't wear it; & more letters/emails would go into the 1922 Chair; so he said; "Fuck It !", & now, they'll wait till hospitals in London run out of capacity; before doing anything.
Last thing the Blonde Bumblecunt wants is to have to recall Parliament to get restrictions passed and have another 100+ of his MPs voting against him and then relying on Labour and SNP votes to get it through the house. He is fecked, he is a dead man walking and it is a feckin disaster for the country. Without the new restrictions then there isn't any need for Treasury to compensate leisure and entertainment industries for losses they are incurring as people vote with their feet and 'exercise caution'. He is literally selling them down the river, happy to let 1,000's of businesses go bust in order to save his own political skin! He is a cnut!
Sunak, the heir apparent, as responsible if not more so. Looking after his own political skin, as is Truss to a lesser extent. The conservative right, Brexit crowd are in charge, Boris only purpose now is to soak up the wrath before they pounce.
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salanya
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petej wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 8:31 pm
salanya wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 1:30 pm
Uncle fester wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 12:35 pm Would you fúck off with this agenda-driven shit?
For people working in sectors that are directly impacted by the hospital numbers, this has been the most fúcking awful years of our lives and we will be the ones who have to clean up the mess left by twats pushing their own twisted brand of "science".
Hear hear.

Let's hope Omicron is milder than the previous variants. But you still want to prevent spreading it in case you make others ill, and it can still make people poorly, whether just for a day or several weeks.
Meaning having to isolate and being off work.
Bit of a pain when you stack shelves or work in IT, but with serious consequences for oncologists, obstetricians but also firemen etc.
That's the concern for the wider society, and why measures need considering.

This pandemic is really showing people's true colours, and a general lack of empathy (anti-vaxxers, politicians and/or those with their own specific agenda without considering others).
There's a concern for wider society? There is a concern for the elderly and unvaxxed. I don't think there is any concern for the u30s and minor's. A minor after thought for the UK government and UK media.
I agree that this government is awful for the younger generations. But I think you may be missing my point.

If this was a similar variant to Delta in how quickly it spreads and the severity of the virus, then I'd agree we'd have to weigh more on the vaccines and the public health measures whilst keeping society going as much as possible.

But as this Omicron variant seems to spread like wildfire, it's causing issues for the whole of society. With the amount of people catching it, it means they can't take part in society for 10+ days (assuming they don't get a worse illness). This means nurses and GPs, but also bus/train drivers, teachers, police/fire response etc. are all out of action. At some point this means services get overstretched and will have to be limited, which will be affecting everyone, not just the elderly/vulnerable.
So even if hopefully casualties won't increase, it will complicate life for society and all generations.

I'm not necessarily a fan of another lockdown, and it's hard to judge without having all the data (and I'm no specialist), but if things continue like they have over the last week, then we will be cutting down the services on which society relies, which basically will still mean a lockdown.

What I feel strongly about is this vague guidance of not socialising too much, without making the advice specific and setting up the support measures for affected businesses and organisations. It'd be mad to support them for the last 18 months, and then watching them drown in sight of the harbour.
And then come Spring they'll complain that the economy is struggling. It's especially annoying as this is exactly what happened in their avoidance of the first lockdown in March 2020 (vague guidance but not making a firm decision for businesses). But as Rishi has decided he doesn't want to spend anymore they just ignore it. And Boris doesn't have the backbenches anymore, so he's even more of a lame duck than before.
Over the hills and far away........
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Sandstorm
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Moderna booster seems to be “very effective “ against Omicron.

No shit, it almost killed me!!!
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Ymx
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Sandstorm wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 11:35 pm Moderna booster seems to be “very effective “ against Omicron.

No shit, it almost killed me!!!
Well, I think I’m inadvertently trying both bastards at once. Still here. Just a running nose so far, and perhaps insomnia??
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Calculon
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salanya wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 9:26 pm
But as this Omicron variant seems to spread like wildfire, it's causing issues for the whole of society. With the amount of people catching it, it means they can't take part in society for 10+ days (assuming they don't get a worse illness). This means nurses and GPs, but also bus/train drivers, teachers, police/fire response etc. are all out of action. At some point this means services get overstretched and will have to be limited, which will be affecting everyone, not just the elderly/vulnerable.
So even if hopefully casualties won't increase, it will complicate life for society and all generations.

I'm not necessarily a fan of another lockdown, and it's hard to judge without having all the data (and I'm no specialist), but if things continue like they have over the last week, then we will be cutting down the services on which society relies, which basically will still mean a lockdown.
Maybe your government need to relax the self isolation requirements then.
petej
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Calculon wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 7:40 am
salanya wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 9:26 pm
But as this Omicron variant seems to spread like wildfire, it's causing issues for the whole of society. With the amount of people catching it, it means they can't take part in society for 10+ days (assuming they don't get a worse illness). This means nurses and GPs, but also bus/train drivers, teachers, police/fire response etc. are all out of action. At some point this means services get overstretched and will have to be limited, which will be affecting everyone, not just the elderly/vulnerable.
So even if hopefully casualties won't increase, it will complicate life for society and all generations.

I'm not necessarily a fan of another lockdown, and it's hard to judge without having all the data (and I'm no specialist), but if things continue like they have over the last week, then we will be cutting down the services on which society relies, which basically will still mean a lockdown.
Maybe your government need to relax the self isolation requirements then.
Or just avoid testing yourself. Which is what I suspect many are doing.
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Calculon
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Yeah, that's what's happening here too
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Lockdowns were a tool for a very specific issue - viral pandemic with no effective remedy. We have one now - vaccination - that seems to be stopping critical levels of death. Lockdowns aren't a standard tool and have catastrophic side effects. No more of them please.
Old men forget: yet all shall be forgot, But he'll remember with advantages, What feats he did that day
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salanya
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Calculon wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 7:40 am
salanya wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 9:26 pm
But as this Omicron variant seems to spread like wildfire, it's causing issues for the whole of society. With the amount of people catching it, it means they can't take part in society for 10+ days (assuming they don't get a worse illness). This means nurses and GPs, but also bus/train drivers, teachers, police/fire response etc. are all out of action. At some point this means services get overstretched and will have to be limited, which will be affecting everyone, not just the elderly/vulnerable.
So even if hopefully casualties won't increase, it will complicate life for society and all generations.

I'm not necessarily a fan of another lockdown, and it's hard to judge without having all the data (and I'm no specialist), but if things continue like they have over the last week, then we will be cutting down the services on which society relies, which basically will still mean a lockdown.
Maybe your government need to relax the self isolation requirements then.
Or let's pretend there is no virus at all, that'll improve things...
Over the hills and far away........
Biffer
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Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 6:43 pm

petej wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 8:01 am
Calculon wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 7:40 am
salanya wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 9:26 pm
But as this Omicron variant seems to spread like wildfire, it's causing issues for the whole of society. With the amount of people catching it, it means they can't take part in society for 10+ days (assuming they don't get a worse illness). This means nurses and GPs, but also bus/train drivers, teachers, police/fire response etc. are all out of action. At some point this means services get overstretched and will have to be limited, which will be affecting everyone, not just the elderly/vulnerable.
So even if hopefully casualties won't increase, it will complicate life for society and all generations.

I'm not necessarily a fan of another lockdown, and it's hard to judge without having all the data (and I'm no specialist), but if things continue like they have over the last week, then we will be cutting down the services on which society relies, which basically will still mean a lockdown.
Maybe your government need to relax the self isolation requirements then.
Or just avoid testing yourself. Which is what I suspect many are doing.
I can't understand that. If you're going to see family, particularly parents or grandparents, why would you risk assing it on to them.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
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Paddington Bear
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Biffer wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 10:10 am
petej wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 8:01 am
Calculon wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 7:40 am

Maybe your government need to relax the self isolation requirements then.
Or just avoid testing yourself. Which is what I suspect many are doing.
I can't understand that. If you're going to see family, particularly parents or grandparents, why would you risk assing it on to them.
I think it is more applicable to people who are in groups where no one is at high risk. My pre-Christmas socials have only included those of us whose Grandparents are dead.
Old men forget: yet all shall be forgot, But he'll remember with advantages, What feats he did that day
dpedin
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Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2020 8:35 am

Biffer wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 10:10 am
petej wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 8:01 am
Calculon wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 7:40 am

Maybe your government need to relax the self isolation requirements then.
Or just avoid testing yourself. Which is what I suspect many are doing.
I can't understand that. If you're going to see family, particularly parents or grandparents, why would you risk assing it on to them.
Mate just confirmed positive - was golfing and eating/drinking in London last week. Luckily he has been vaxxed x 3 so should be ok. Now self isolating and Xmas is cancelled for him. Was one of those who didn't really believe in masks and didn't avoid poorly ventilated places etc .. now regretting it. His poor wife is now trying to persuade him that she cant share same room as him, even if 2 metres apart, he needs to isolate and she doesn't want to catch it! He is not a happy bunny.
dpedin
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Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2020 8:35 am

Hearing that numbers of covid cases will level off soon ... because we are running out of testing capacity! Also significant numbers of lab staff off work due to omicron. We will soon be flying blind. Perhaps this is what the Blonde Bumblecunt is waiting for and will use levelling off of case numbers to justify not bringing in further restrictions? I am only partially joking here, I honestly wouldn't put it past them.
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Calculon
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salanya wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 9:30 am
Calculon wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 7:40 am
salanya wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 9:26 pm
But as this Omicron variant seems to spread like wildfire, it's causing issues for the whole of society. With the amount of people catching it, it means they can't take part in society for 10+ days (assuming they don't get a worse illness). This means nurses and GPs, but also bus/train drivers, teachers, police/fire response etc. are all out of action. At some point this means services get overstretched and will have to be limited, which will be affecting everyone, not just the elderly/vulnerable.
So even if hopefully casualties won't increase, it will complicate life for society and all generations.

I'm not necessarily a fan of another lockdown, and it's hard to judge without having all the data (and I'm no specialist), but if things continue like they have over the last week, then we will be cutting down the services on which society relies, which basically will still mean a lockdown.
Maybe your government need to relax the self isolation requirements then.
Or let's pretend there is no virus at all, that'll improve things...
I'm a visionary

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/6f18 ... a4767d84a0
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salanya
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Calculon:
It was always a likely step, though it's reduced rather than cancelled - bit of a difference.
But if you're Covid negative and science agrees that you are not going to pass any lurgy on after 7 days then it works for me.

Lots of news coming in of services being cancelled, whether NHS, public transport etc. That seems to be the biggest issue this wave.

I genuinely hope omicron is less severe than delta - any scientifically proven news on this yet?
Over the hills and far away........
dpedin
Posts: 3341
Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2020 8:35 am

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-somerset-59730888

Immensa scandal gets worse and worse! Definitely not going away!
Biffer
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salanya wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 10:59 am Calculon:
It was always a likely step, though it's reduced rather than cancelled - bit of a difference.
But if you're Covid negative and science agrees that you are not going to pass any lurgy on after 7 days then it works for me.

Lots of news coming in of services being cancelled, whether NHS, public transport etc. That seems to be the biggest issue this wave.

I genuinely hope omicron is less severe than delta - any scientifically proven news on this yet?
There's some encouraging studies which suggest Omicron might replicate far better than previous variants in the bronchus (tubes leading into the lungs) and not nearly as well as previous in the lungs. This would explain faster replication and transmission, less severity, shorter illness. But these are very early, small scale, conducted in vitro not in vivo and use pseudo viruses. So shouldn't be shouted about as 'WAAAH HERE'S PROOF LETS STOP DOING ANYTHING TO PREVENT IT'
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
petej
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Joined: Thu Nov 04, 2021 10:41 am
Location: Gwent

salanya wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 10:59 am Calculon:
It was always a likely step, though it's reduced rather than cancelled - bit of a difference.
But if you're Covid negative and science agrees that you are not going to pass any lurgy on after 7 days then it works for me.

Lots of news coming in of services being cancelled, whether NHS, public transport etc. That seems to be the biggest issue this wave.

I genuinely hope omicron is less severe than delta - any scientifically proven news on this yet?
Image

Denmark. Who have superb testing and surveillance. Hospitalisations rate for omicron 0.6% and for other variants 1.5%.
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Torquemada 1420
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salanya wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 2:01 pm
Lemoentjie wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 1:41 pm I do hope all the fatties who ask for lockdowns etc are equally as determined to lose their excess weight that puts them at risk not only for Covid, but many other problems that block up hospital beds.
You seem obsessed with overweight people. Why ignore smokers, alcoholics, drug users? Or the elderly, who all take up a lot of health services too.

None of these are easy to fix, so perhaps we'll concentrate on the issue of the global pandemic first?
Because being elderly is an election?

Alcoholics and drug users are a rounding error in terms of resource drain on the NHS. Drug users, in particular, are a huge and disproportionate cause of crime though.

Smokers. Yeah. You can reasonably level the same accusation with one exception: smoking is generally regarded as an addition. Shovelling pies down one's gullet is not.
petej
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Torquemada 1420 wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 11:34 am
salanya wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 2:01 pm
Lemoentjie wrote: Mon Dec 20, 2021 1:41 pm I do hope all the fatties who ask for lockdowns etc are equally as determined to lose their excess weight that puts them at risk not only for Covid, but many other problems that block up hospital beds.
You seem obsessed with overweight people. Why ignore smokers, alcoholics, drug users? Or the elderly, who all take up a lot of health services too.

None of these are easy to fix, so perhaps we'll concentrate on the issue of the global pandemic first?
Because being elderly is an election?

Alcoholics and drug users are a rounding error in terms of resource drain on the NHS. Drug users, in particular, are a huge and disproportionate cause of crime.

Smokers. Yeah. You can reasonably level the same accusation with one exception: smoking is generally regarded as an addition. Shovelling pies down one's gullet is not.
While I'm not inclined to be over sympathetic about being grossly overweight the role of the food industry and the impact of heavily/ultra processed foods and the way that interacts with our brains makes these foods very addictive.
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