JM2K6 wrote: Wed May 24, 2023 9:30 pm
Tichtheid wrote: Wed May 24, 2023 8:46 pm
JM2K6 wrote: Wed May 24, 2023 8:27 pm
I think that's hindsight talking a bit, there was no guarantee the French would stay in the fight or have the fitness to keep up with the intensity for long enough
It's a clear eye without the emotion of the moment talking.
The momentum was pretty much all one way from minute 12 to minute 75.
Leinster could still have stolen it at the end before their prop got sent off, but it would have been against the run of play for the vast majority of the game.
I think there's a big difference with watching that game knowing the comeback happens, and watching it well after the first 15 minutes when Leinster are still absolutely hammering the LaR runners back and letting them get nowhere near at the breakdown by hook or (primarily) by crook.
Can't imagine many people watched that live and thought halfway through the first half that LaR were the only winners
No one would have thought that La Rochelle were the only winners after 20 minutes when watching it live, but what I'm saying is that taking the jeopardy out of it by knowing the result, you can watch it and see where things turned.
Of course there is a bit of confirmation bias when you do this, you know the result, you know that La Rochelle have won this fixture two years in a row and are going for the third, you have read all the prematch stuff about power being the Leinster kryptonite, to be fair it's every team's kryptonite, and you know that the La Rochelle bench is stacked with quality players who are just as big and athletic as the starters - ok few are as big as Atonio, but his replacement Colombe is 1.93m and 135kg, which would be monstrous in any other team. The point being they can keep up the power game.
When you read through some of the stats, it's quite telling, overall LaR had 62% of the possession but it's what they did with it - 11 entries to the Leinster 22 scoring an average of 2.4 points per entry.
146 passes to Leinster's 73, 138 ball carries compared to 72, 292 post contact metres made compared to 134.
98 tackles made, 7 missed compared to Leinster's 189 tackles made with 24 missed.
I'm a big believer that rugby is all about momentum, what I read into those stats is that bar the first quarter of an hour the momentum was with La Rochelle. At 13 minutes the score was 17 - 0, by half time it was 23 -14.
Watching it live I thought it was very tense, these are two terrific sides and they played a stormer of a final, on a second watch by half time there was a degree of inevitability about the outcome, taking into account previous games and what was unfolding before us. "Only one winner" was probably an exaggeration on my part, to be honest on that second watch I was so impressed with La Rochelle's game plan and execution against the might of Leinster in Dublin that I probably overstated it, but it was a great performance from the French side.