
Interestingly, these reports are in the same media that has been demanding that Australian states ease restrictions for months. So I guess governments are damned either way?
Sadly, if the Australian context is anything to go by, increased deaths will follow increase numbers of infections. We've had six times as many deaths in our 2nd wave here than we had in the first wave in March/April.
Victoria got to around 750 new cases per day at its peak. And despite some of the most onerous lockdown conditions anywhere on Earth they've still had 600 deaths since late June in that state alone. They are today down to 21 new cases so hopefully the deaths will slow down.Raggs wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 11:17 pm Yep, and as cases are still rising, so will deaths. At least we're not France though... Hope we act before we get there.
Hospital admissions are doubling every 8 days, although that is from a low base.
robmatic wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 4:42 amHospital admissions are doubling every 8 days, although that is from a low base.
https://twitter.com/ActuaryByDay/status ... 77864?s=09
They can't make up stats they don't have. Which is why they made the point of noting when testing increased. Any 'truly' representative graph would be guesswork.sefton wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 7:49 am Those graphs showing UK positive tests are misrepresentations, the figures for the peak are an order of magnitude wrong for the numbers infected at the time.
It's probably best to ignore the first peak of cases and consider the current rate of change.CM11 wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:05 amThey can't make up stats they don't have. Which is why they made the point of noting when testing increased. Any 'truly' representative graph would be guesswork.sefton wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 7:49 am Those graphs showing UK positive tests are misrepresentations, the figures for the peak are an order of magnitude wrong for the numbers infected at the time.
I don't disagree.robmatic wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:10 amIt's probably best to ignore the first peak of cases and consider the current rate of change.CM11 wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:05 amThey can't make up stats they don't have. Which is why they made the point of noting when testing increased. Any 'truly' representative graph would be guesswork.sefton wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 7:49 am Those graphs showing UK positive tests are misrepresentations, the figures for the peak are an order of magnitude wrong for the numbers infected at the time.
We are not really being helped by the media.CM11 wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:14 amI don't disagree.robmatic wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:10 amIt's probably best to ignore the first peak of cases and consider the current rate of change.CM11 wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:05 am
They can't make up stats they don't have. Which is why they made the point of noting when testing increased. Any 'truly' representative graph would be guesswork.
Unfortunately we panicked people so much (rightly so) that they are fixated on numbers and aren't really factoring in the increased ability to catch cases so we get headlines like 'most cases since April!!!!!!!' without much explanation that it's not comparable.
Agreed.robmatic wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:26 amWe are not really being helped by the media.CM11 wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:14 amI don't disagree.robmatic wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:10 am
It's probably best to ignore the first peak of cases and consider the current rate of change.
Unfortunately we panicked people so much (rightly so) that they are fixated on numbers and aren't really factoring in the increased ability to catch cases so we get headlines like 'most cases since April!!!!!!!' without much explanation that it's not comparable.
I've known quite a few journalists and most of them are pretty clueless when it comes to numbers, unfortunately.
Quite. Yet it will depend on the definition of cause and what definition prevailed in the past relative to currently, in relation to Covid obviously.
Ted. wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 9:25 amQuite. Yet it will depend on the definition of cause and what definition prevailed in the past relative to currently, in relation to Covid obviously.![]()
If ever there was a country that provided the perfect conditions for Coronavirus to spread, it's India.Carter's Choice wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 7:19 am India records 93,337 new infections overnight. Ouch. Certainly puts the challenges we are facing here in Australia into some context.
The population is young though, only 6% over the age of 65.Hal Jordan wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 9:31 amIf ever there was a country that provided the perfect conditions for Coronavirus to spread, it's India.Carter's Choice wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 7:19 am India records 93,337 new infections overnight. Ouch. Certainly puts the challenges we are facing here in Australia into some context.
Also true of politicians. Last time I checked there were 5 out of 650 MPs at Westminster who had a STEM degree.robmatic wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:26 amWe are not really being helped by the media.CM11 wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:14 amI don't disagree.robmatic wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:10 am
It's probably best to ignore the first peak of cases and consider the current rate of change.
Unfortunately we panicked people so much (rightly so) that they are fixated on numbers and aren't really factoring in the increased ability to catch cases so we get headlines like 'most cases since April!!!!!!!' without much explanation that it's not comparable.
I've known quite a few journalists and most of them are pretty clueless when it comes to numbers, unfortunately.
Obviously it's not what you need to get ahead in the Great British Bluffocracy.Biffer wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 10:11 amAlso true of politicians. Last time I checked there were 5 out of 650 MPs at Westminster who had a STEM degree.robmatic wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:26 amWe are not really being helped by the media.CM11 wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:14 am
I don't disagree.
Unfortunately we panicked people so much (rightly so) that they are fixated on numbers and aren't really factoring in the increased ability to catch cases so we get headlines like 'most cases since April!!!!!!!' without much explanation that it's not comparable.
I've known quite a few journalists and most of them are pretty clueless when it comes to numbers, unfortunately.
Just checked and it’s changed a fair amount, it’s twenty something now. But that’s still shockingly low.
Yeah, bluffing, bluster and persuasion don’t get you that far in science and engineering.robmatic wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 10:15 amObviously it's not what you need to get ahead in the Great British Bluffocracy.Biffer wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 10:11 amAlso true of politicians. Last time I checked there were 5 out of 650 MPs at Westminster who had a STEM degree.robmatic wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:26 am
We are not really being helped by the media.
I've known quite a few journalists and most of them are pretty clueless when it comes to numbers, unfortunately.
Just checked and it’s changed a fair amount, it’s twenty something now. But that’s still shockingly low.
PHE are under direct control of Hancock and the Department, They dont do anything without his say so.Bimbowomxn wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 12:17 pmeldanielfire wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 11:32 amPHE is trash, but The Government has been hugely flawed in this awarding contracts to clueless friends rather than those in the business. It's no coincidence that posters here pointed out the most COVID infected area of Australia got that way through a private contracts where other states used the public sector and didn't.Bimbowomxn wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 9:33 am The problem with initial testing wasn’t that PHE was sidelined it was they resisted at PHE all private sector help .... that lasted months .
PHE totally at fault .
And yet private providers did fine in Germany and Switzerland.
dpedin wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 10:56 amPHE are under direct control of Hancock and the Department, They dont do anything without his say so.Bimbowomxn wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 12:17 pmeldanielfire wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 11:32 am
PHE is trash, but The Government has been hugely flawed in this awarding contracts to clueless friends rather than those in the business. It's no coincidence that posters here pointed out the most COVID infected area of Australia got that way through a private contracts where other states used the public sector and didn't.
And yet private providers did fine in Germany and Switzerland.
'Public Health England (PHE) is an executive agency of the Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) which is the expert national public health agency which fulfils the Secretary of State for Health and Social Care's statutory duty to protect health and address inequalities, and executes his power to promote the ... '
I did think something similar but thought maybe I was being a bit mean.
Was Yeeb watching too?Glaston wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 2:56 pmI did think something similar but thought maybe I was being a bit mean.
I dont understand what is going on overall. Its like some people have forgotten the last 7 months and couldnt care less about the consequnces.
Looking at the younger generation here.
Wash hands, wear a mask, social distance. If you do that it, shouldnt spread .
Came across a Twitch stream of Swedish girls in Italy just totally not giving a monkeys
Yeah yeah, lol Swedish girls on Twitch![]()
It was a random thing
That would be worrying.ASMO wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 3:00 pmWas Yeeb watching too?Glaston wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 2:56 pmI did think something similar but thought maybe I was being a bit mean.
I dont understand what is going on overall. Its like some people have forgotten the last 7 months and couldnt care less about the consequnces.
Looking at the younger generation here.
Wash hands, wear a mask, social distance. If you do that it, shouldnt spread .
Came across a Twitch stream of Swedish girls in Italy just totally not giving a monkeys
Yeah yeah, lol Swedish girls on Twitch![]()
It was a random thing
A new study of more than one million people suggests those with a certain blood type are less at risk of contracting Covid-19 than others.
The study of 1.05 million participants over four months, published on medrxiv.org, has found people with O-type blood may be less susceptible to contracting coronavirus.
The results have not been peer reviewed.
The study is based on research results from personal genomics and biotechnology company 23andMe, which conducted the work this year. So probably means I am safe. Phew
It found people with O-type blood appear to be at a lower risk of being infected and also are less likely to have a severe case of the disease.
I got this report a couple of months ago as I’m one of the participants in this DNA company which has my DNA. At that time only 800,000 had responded and they gave a range for type Os having between 10 and 18% less chance of catching it. I’ve recently completed an follow-up survey but the results aren’t out yet.Enzedder wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 7:34 pm Well shit - wanna poor more fear onto me?
A new study of more than one million people suggests those with a certain blood type are less at risk of contracting Covid-19 than others.
The study of 1.05 million participants over four months, published on medrxiv.org, has found people with O-type blood may be less susceptible to contracting coronavirus.
The results have not been peer reviewed.
The study is based on research results from personal genomics and biotechnology company 23andMe, which conducted the work this year. So probably means I am safe. Phew
It found people with O-type blood appear to be at a lower risk of being infected and also are less likely to have a severe case of the disease.