_Os_ wrote: Mon Mar 03, 2025 8:24 pm
fishfoodie wrote: Mon Mar 03, 2025 7:04 pm
_Os_ wrote: Mon Mar 03, 2025 6:33 pm
Hearing a lot of talk about the mineral deal, you can tell those talking are not from a mining jurisdiction and know literally nothing about the subject. I've seen no one make these basic points, so I'll put them here for you guys:
1. It takes massive capital investment and 10-15 years to develop a natural resource into a productive mine operating at scale. This investment simply doesn't happen unless the conditions are perfect, and I mean absolutely perfect over a range of areas (policy certainty, infrastructure/transport/power, political stability, local skills base, etc). Industrialised mining at scale definitely is not done in contested warzones. Even if the war stopped tomorrow it's very unlikely any new mining at scale will be done in Ukraine before the end of the 2030s.
2. Not many companies are able to prospect and develop fresh claims into large scale mines. This mining deal will not change which companies are operating there, it's going to be the same few regardless. Deal with the Americans to divide natural resource revenue =/= more Americans than with no deal. The deal could even kill mining investment (is this a form of tax? at 50%!). Most of the value will be in oil/gas even if Ukraine doesn't have much, just more profitable than digging.
3. Not really related but foreign workers aren't a security guarantee. Iraq invaded Kuwait and didn't worry at all about that.
... All looks a bit grubby. Trump talks about helping Ukraine and they should be grateful, but then talks about how he wants to make money from the situation. Is he helping or trying to make money.
Again, you're another person acting like you are talking about rational, intelligent people who think things thru & have a plan, instead of, "Art of the Deal", & all the other bullshit.
You spent more time thinking about this than anyone in the Administration !
This imaginary deal was just so the Traitor could have his moment of Triumph outside the WH, & claim that while crooked Joe gave 500 bazillion dollars & got nothing in return, he the master negotiator got a deal that was worth 2000 bazillion dollars, & it only took him a few days.
Everything is just bullshit, & the only thing this fucking moron cares about is headlines & poll ratings.
True but also foolish, reality does exist.
This isn't some nonsense culture wars issue which impacts hardly anyone. They're going to destroy US soft power if they keep this up for 4+ years, they'll never be forgiven in Europe if their bullshit harms Ukraine. The guys who lost to Vietnam/Iraq/Afghanistan and are now struggling against the Houthis, think their strength is hard power. They also think Russia wants to be their friend and Russia will help them more against China than Europe.
This is some insane shit we're witnessing. I'm half expecting them to go block capital red font "goo goo gaa gaa".
Still over thinking !
Do you think the Traitor even knows what "Soft Power" is ?
I don't disagree with you at all in what the consequences will be, just on how much thought they are giving to them. We're facing an administration run by a egotist with limited intelligence & unlimited malice & greed; so looking for deep thought is folly.
Just look at the people he's surrounded himself with in his 2nd term, after the chaos of his 1st; did he learn from it & decide to surround himself with better people, who could implement a coherent set of policies ??? ..... did he fuck !, he prioritized blind loyalty whatever batshit crazy plan was in Project 2025, & he handed jobs to cretinous lick spittles.
There is NO PLAN !!
There isn't even any looking down the road ten years to see if the US will still exist; this is day to day, hour to hour, because the guy calling the shots knows he'll be dead by then & he doesn't give a flying fuck about the rest of us, & he's surrounded himself with people who'll do whatever their told so they can fill their pockets too.