So, coronavirus...

Where goats go to escape
dpedin
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Saint wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 4:52 pm
Ovals wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 4:45 pm It'd be good to get those rates up to a million a day, ready for when we have to start 2nd doses - so that it doesn't slow down the rate of new vaccinations. Hopefully supplies are also increasing as manufacturers ramp up production.

My sister gets hers tomorrow, mine is on Tuesday - unfortunately (depending on how you look at it !) Mrs Ovals is in group 5 so it won't help much until she gets her date. Shouldn't be too long at the rates they're achieving.
I think there probably needs to be some realism here. 1 million a day would represent 40% over the revised government target - which itself is 150% over the initial target that many thought would be a difficult target to hit.
Hearing that supply rather than capacity to deliver is going to be the issue going forward.
tc27
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AZ seem very confident they can deliver 100 million doses by the end of June which means every adult will have had at least one Jab.

Moderna coming in April too.

I wonder if any AZ is being swapped for PZ? The whole row has gone very quiet.
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Saint
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dpedin wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 8:54 pm
Saint wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 4:52 pm
Ovals wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 4:45 pm It'd be good to get those rates up to a million a day, ready for when we have to start 2nd doses - so that it doesn't slow down the rate of new vaccinations. Hopefully supplies are also increasing as manufacturers ramp up production.

My sister gets hers tomorrow, mine is on Tuesday - unfortunately (depending on how you look at it !) Mrs Ovals is in group 5 so it won't help much until she gets her date. Shouldn't be too long at the rates they're achieving.
I think there probably needs to be some realism here. 1 million a day would represent 40% over the revised government target - which itself is 150% over the initial target that many thought would be a difficult target to hit.
Hearing that supply rather than capacity to deliver is going to be the issue going forward.
I agree it will be the limitation, but we're talking about a totally different level of scale. I don't believe we'll reach that point
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Saint
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tc27 wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 9:11 pm AZ seem very confident they can deliver 100 million doses by the end of June which means every adult will have had at least one Jab.

Moderna coming in April too.

I wonder if any AZ is being swapped for PZ? The whole row has gone very quiet.
There have been three Pfizer export requests since the rules came in, 1 to UK and 2 to Canada. All signed off and approved
Flockwitt
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I'll repost here. Good news... a cure as opposed to a vaccine from the dastardly laser shooting yids.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/israeli-covi ... 09164.html
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Openside
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Flockwitt wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 11:03 pm I'll repost here. Good news... a cure as opposed to a vaccine from the dastardly laser shooting yids.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/israeli-covi ... 09164.html
There are some very clever people doing amazing work out there. The advances that have been achieved over 10 months of concerted (in the main) global co-operation have been astounding.
Ovals
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Saint wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 9:17 pm
dpedin wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 8:54 pm
Saint wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 4:52 pm

I think there probably needs to be some realism here. 1 million a day would represent 40% over the revised government target - which itself is 150% over the initial target that many thought would be a difficult target to hit.
Hearing that supply rather than capacity to deliver is going to be the issue going forward.
I agree it will be the limitation, but we're talking about a totally different level of scale. I don't believe we'll reach that point
Probably wishful thinking on my part - but I think we could do it if the vaccine supply was available at that level. If we don't increase the levels, we'll soon get to a point where there are very limited numbers of people getting 1st jabs as we'll have to match current numbers with 2nd jabs.
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FalseBayFC
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Ovals wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 6:59 pm
Enzedder wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 6:47 pm
tc27 wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 11:45 am [
Pretty much this - also from what I can gather the Brit haters/swarm are now focusing hard on bashing the AZ vaccine 'useless monkey virus'.

Someone created a multi called 'Sputnik V' with a shirtless Putin as the avatar.
Sputnik isn't a multi - he's on a Don Quixote type mission against "western" ideology and achievement.
I think it is more that he sees the AZ vaccine as being 'English' and that's enough for him to be dissing it at every opportunity.
Well, as late as 1996 AZ and Pfizer amongst others were doing drug trials on Africans without their consent.They only stopped after being caught red-handed and a huge outcry ensued. So as much as they've achieved great things, one can understand the slight reservations of some.
Disclaimer - not an anti-vaxxer, campaigning hard in real life to get our pop vaccinated.
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Saint
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Ovals wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 1:23 am
Saint wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 9:17 pm
dpedin wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 8:54 pm

Hearing that supply rather than capacity to deliver is going to be the issue going forward.
I agree it will be the limitation, but we're talking about a totally different level of scale. I don't believe we'll reach that point
Probably wishful thinking on my part - but I think we could do it if the vaccine supply was available at that level. If we don't increase the levels, we'll soon get to a point where there are very limited numbers of people getting 1st jabs as we'll have to match current numbers with 2nd jabs.
The target is to get to 5 million a week. I reckon that's going to take us a good 5-7 weeks more, so by the time we get there around half will be second dose, the other half first dose. By that stage we should have delivered a good 20 million+ additional doses.

I'd be fairly content with that as an outstanding performance, even if that means a slowdown in new people getting their first jab
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Ymx
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Yeah I guess we will be going at half speed when we have 50% first doses and 50% second doses.
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Tichtheid
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Flockwitt wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 11:03 pm I'll repost here. Good news... a cure as opposed to a vaccine from the dastardly laser shooting yids.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/israeli-covi ... 09164.html

That really is exciting news, presumably the cure would be just as effective with any mutation of the virus itself, buying time to change the vaccine if and when needed.
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FalseBayFC
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Tichtheid wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 8:24 am
Flockwitt wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 11:03 pm I'll repost here. Good news... a cure as opposed to a vaccine from the dastardly laser shooting yids.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/israeli-covi ... 09164.html

That really is exciting news, presumably the cure would be just as effective with any mutation of the virus itself, buying time to change the vaccine if and when needed.
Yep that would be awesome. If that's successful in later trials they should really open up the patents on that.
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PCPhil
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There's a hell of a lot of co-operation and data sharing that goes on behind the scenes despite all the West vs East politics sh1t we get fed. The work that has gone into this gives a lot of hope for the future nasties that will no doubt be along at some point.

BTW: Globby gets ill with covid, recovers...and then there is a major step change in early stage development across the world that has led to a lot of highly successful vaccines. Just a coincidence? :problem:

#globbysavesusall
“It was a pet, not an animal. It had a name, you don't eat things with names, this is horrific!”
Ovals
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Saint wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 7:49 am
Ovals wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 1:23 am
Saint wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 9:17 pm

I agree it will be the limitation, but we're talking about a totally different level of scale. I don't believe we'll reach that point
Probably wishful thinking on my part - but I think we could do it if the vaccine supply was available at that level. If we don't increase the levels, we'll soon get to a point where there are very limited numbers of people getting 1st jabs as we'll have to match current numbers with 2nd jabs.
The target is to get to 5 million a week. I reckon that's going to take us a good 5-7 weeks more, so by the time we get there around half will be second dose, the other half first dose. By that stage we should have delivered a good 20 million+ additional doses.

I'd be fairly content with that as an outstanding performance, even if that means a slowdown in new people getting their first jab
Yeah - I'd settle for 5m a week - that'd be enough to keep decent progress being made with 1st and 2nd jabs.
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Uncle fester
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Enzedder wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 6:47 pm
tc27 wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 11:45 am [
Pretty much this - also from what I can gather the Brit haters/swarm are now focusing hard on bashing the AZ vaccine 'useless monkey virus'.

Someone created a multi called 'Sputnik V' with a shirtless Putin as the avatar.
Sputnik isn't a multi - he's on a Don Quixote type mission against "western" ideology and achievement.
Dozy?
Dinsdale Piranha
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FalseBayFC wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 7:09 am
Ovals wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 6:59 pm
Enzedder wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 6:47 pm

Sputnik isn't a multi - he's on a Don Quixote type mission against "western" ideology and achievement.
I think it is more that he sees the AZ vaccine as being 'English' and that's enough for him to be dissing it at every opportunity.
Well, as late as 1996 AZ and Pfizer amongst others were doing drug trials on Africans without their consent.They only stopped after being caught red-handed and a huge outcry ensued. So as much as they've achieved great things, one can understand the slight reservations of some.
Disclaimer - not an anti-vaxxer, campaigning hard in real life to get our pop vaccinated.
Pfizer have some form in that area. Any eveidence for AZ? (who didn't exist in 1996)
Biffer
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Ovals wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 10:17 am
Saint wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 7:49 am
Ovals wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 1:23 am

Probably wishful thinking on my part - but I think we could do it if the vaccine supply was available at that level. If we don't increase the levels, we'll soon get to a point where there are very limited numbers of people getting 1st jabs as we'll have to match current numbers with 2nd jabs.
The target is to get to 5 million a week. I reckon that's going to take us a good 5-7 weeks more, so by the time we get there around half will be second dose, the other half first dose. By that stage we should have delivered a good 20 million+ additional doses.

I'd be fairly content with that as an outstanding performance, even if that means a slowdown in new people getting their first jab
Yeah - I'd settle for 5m a week - that'd be enough to keep decent progress being made with 1st and 2nd jabs.
50 million adults in the UK. 17 million doses given, 83 million to go.

If we get to 5 million a week by end of March, we’ll have done over 30 million, 70 million more would take 14 weeks

-> all adults done with two doses by middle to end of August.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
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FalseBayFC
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Dinsdale Piranha wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 11:41 am
FalseBayFC wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 7:09 am
Ovals wrote: Fri Feb 05, 2021 6:59 pm

I think it is more that he sees the AZ vaccine as being 'English' and that's enough for him to be dissing it at every opportunity.
Well, as late as 1996 AZ and Pfizer amongst others were doing drug trials on Africans without their consent.They only stopped after being caught red-handed and a huge outcry ensued. So as much as they've achieved great things, one can understand the slight reservations of some.
Disclaimer - not an anti-vaxxer, campaigning hard in real life to get our pop vaccinated.
Pfizer have some form in that area. Any eveidence for AZ? (who didn't exist in 1996)
Yes you are right. Some how the AZT scandal in Zim stuck in my head but that wasn't AZ or its predecessors.
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Saint
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498k doses delivered yesterday. First day this week that isn't significantly up on the previous week, so no real upgrade on the 7 day average
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Raggs
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Cases don't seem to want to drop too much more past the 18-20k range, which is still very significant. Surely there can't be talk of ending lockdown until we get the cases actually dropping again.
Give a man a fire and he'll be warm for a day. Set a man on fire and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
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Ymx
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Raggs wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 9:45 pm Cases don't seem to want to drop too much more past the 18-20k range, which is still very significant. Surely there can't be talk of ending lockdown until we get the cases actually dropping again.
And unfortunately the spreading segments of our population will be last vaccinated.
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The Druid
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Some not so good news it seems on the AZ vaccine?
(Reuters) - The COVID-19 vaccine developed by AstraZeneca and Oxford University does not appear to protect against mild and moderate disease caused by the South African coronavirus variant, the Financial Times reported on Saturday, citing a study due to be published on Monday.
https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-heal ... SKBN2A60RH
tc27
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The Druid wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 10:13 pm Some not so good news it seems on the AZ vaccine?
(Reuters) - The COVID-19 vaccine developed by AstraZeneca and Oxford University does not appear to protect against mild and moderate disease caused by the South African coronavirus variant, the Financial Times reported on Saturday, citing a study due to be published on Monday.
https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-heal ... SKBN2A60RH
Thats a nuts headline and pretty irresponsible

It protects against death and severe illness/hospitalisation.
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The Druid
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Well I hope its far from the truth, but Reuters are usually reliable are they not?
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Raggs
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The Druid wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 10:29 pm Well I hope its far from the truth, but Reuters are usually reliable are they not?
I think the point is more that if you don't have death/severe illness, it doesn't mean you're absolutely fine, just that you've not got that bad. I'd think you can almost increase the amount of mild illness, because of all the "higher" levels being brought down to just mild.
Give a man a fire and he'll be warm for a day. Set a man on fire and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
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Saint
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The Druid wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 10:29 pm Well I hope its far from the truth, but Reuters are usually reliable are they not?

It's enormously irresponsible because it implies that other vaccines es do. The trouble being that they almost certainly don't either.

The simple fact is that all the vaccines so far produce antibodies that are, to all intents and purposes, identical. So if one isn't providing a hoped for response, then none of them will.

We have never been in a position before where we have a multitude of vaccine options like this, and the sooner that the press understand that what was is not what is, the sooner we might actually get through this.
tc27
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Anyway really underlines the border must be closed.

Not in 7 days.

Right now.
Ovals
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Biffer wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 11:50 am
Ovals wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 10:17 am
Saint wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 7:49 am

The target is to get to 5 million a week. I reckon that's going to take us a good 5-7 weeks more, so by the time we get there around half will be second dose, the other half first dose. By that stage we should have delivered a good 20 million+ additional doses.

I'd be fairly content with that as an outstanding performance, even if that means a slowdown in new people getting their first jab
Yeah - I'd settle for 5m a week - that'd be enough to keep decent progress being made with 1st and 2nd jabs.
50 million adults in the UK. 17 million doses given, 83 million to go.

If we get to 5 million a week by end of March, we’ll have done over 30 million, 70 million more would take 14 weeks

-> all adults done with two doses by middle to end of August.
17 million ??
Biffer
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Ovals wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 2:38 am
Biffer wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 11:50 am
Ovals wrote: Sat Feb 06, 2021 10:17 am

Yeah - I'd settle for 5m a week - that'd be enough to keep decent progress being made with 1st and 2nd jabs.
50 million adults in the UK. 17 million doses given, 83 million to go.

If we get to 5 million a week by end of March, we’ll have done over 30 million, 70 million more would take 14 weeks

-> all adults done with two doses by middle to end of August.
17 million ??
Sorry, my mistake, it’s 12. So add another week on.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
Biffer
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53,000 vaccinations yesterday in Scotland.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
tc27
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Which takes us over 500k UK wide today.

Great numbers but the weather is artic this week which may impact results.
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Saint
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tc27 wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 2:41 pm Which takes us over 500k UK wide today.

Great numbers but the weather is artic this week which may impact results.
Total for yesterday ends up at 551K. Slightly down on the previous week.

Given that more capacity and centres are coming online every week, we appear to have reached the limitations of supply
tc27
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Im hearing ancedotally that vaccine centres in areas that have done largely done the first three groups will be stood down this week with supplies going elsewhere.
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Saint
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tc27 wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 4:46 pm Im hearing ancedotally that vaccine centres in areas that have done largely done the first three groups will be stood down this week with supplies going elsewhere.
Not sure about that - they're opening three more round here
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Bullet
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Well the virus has touched us but advise from test and trace seems a bit rubbish so thought I'd ask the experts;

Daughter works in a care home and has daily tests, she's only 19 and our support bubble because she's not coping with lockdown due to her adhd.

My wife went and saw her last Tuesday as she was feeling low, on Wednesday one of the inmates started showing symptoms and yesterday my daughter had symptoms.

She tested positive today and app told her they "need your help to get in touch with people you have been in contact with whilst you were potentially infective"

She's asked me when she was potentially infective from?
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Sandstorm
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Bullet wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:10 pm Well the virus has touched us but advise from test and trace seems a bit rubbish so thought I'd ask the experts;

Daughter works in a care home and has daily tests, she's only 19 and our support bubble because she's not coping with lockdown due to her adhd.

My wife went and saw her last Tuesday as she was feeling low, on Wednesday one of the inmates started showing symptoms and yesterday my daughter had symptoms.

She tested positive today and app told her they "need your help to get in touch with people you have been in contact with whilst you were potentially infective"

She's asked me when she was potentially infective from?
Wednesday. Maybe even Tuesday. Your wife should also get tested.
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Bullet
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Sandstorm wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:15 pm
Bullet wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:10 pm Well the virus has touched us but advise from test and trace seems a bit rubbish so thought I'd ask the experts;

Daughter works in a care home and has daily tests, she's only 19 and our support bubble because she's not coping with lockdown due to her adhd.

My wife went and saw her last Tuesday as she was feeling low, on Wednesday one of the inmates started showing symptoms and yesterday my daughter had symptoms.

She tested positive today and app told her they "need your help to get in touch with people you have been in contact with whilst you were potentially infective"

She's asked me when she was potentially infective from?
Wednesday. Maybe even Tuesday. Your wife should also get tested.
Thanks, I said Wednesday too and wife had negative test Friday morning before work. She's due another tomorrow morning so I don't have to isolate unless this is positive.
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Sandstorm
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:thumbup:
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Saint
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Yep, all as per above. Your missus does need that second negative test to be 100% certain, so if possible you want to avoid contact with anyone outside the household until then, but the reality is that it's incredibly unlikely she or you is infected
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Hong Kong
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